Match Analysis

Gamba OsakavsKashiwa Reysol

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
22%
45%
Gamba Osaka winDrawKashiwa Reysol win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.60
1.20Avg goals scored2.04
1.71Avg goals conceded1.65
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Gamba Osaka xG

Expected goals

1.9

Kashiwa Reysol xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–3

6%

Home

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

DDWDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Kashiwa Reysol

Kashiwa Reysol

DWDLW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Gamba Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Kashiwa Reysol is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Gamba Osaka's current form?

Gamba Osaka have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Gamba Osaka Win33%
Draw22%
Kashiwa Reysol Win45%
BTTS68%
Over 2.568%