Match Analysis

Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
29%
15%
Gamba Osaka winDrawKyoto Sanga win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
1.54Avg goals scored1.31
1.54Avg goals conceded2.02
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Gamba Osaka xG

Expected goals

1.4

Kyoto Sanga xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

21

9%

11

7%

31

7%

20

6%

22

6%

10

5%

Home

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

DLDWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga

WLDLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 5 meetings

Gamba Osakaall timeKyoto Sanga
2W
3D
29 Apr 26
Kyoto Sanga11Gamba Osaka
4 Apr 26
Gamba Osaka20Kyoto Sanga
29 Apr 25
Gamba Osaka21Kyoto Sanga
22 Sep 24
Kyoto Sanga22Gamba Osaka
3 Apr 24
Gamba Osaka00Kyoto Sanga

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga?

Gamba Osaka is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Gamba Osaka's current form?

Gamba Osaka have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 5 J1 League meetings, Gamba Osaka won 2, drew 3, and Kyoto Sanga won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 5 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Gamba Osaka Win56%
Draw29%
Kyoto Sanga Win15%
BTTS69%
Over 2.575%

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