Match Analysis

JEF United Ichihara-ChibavsNagoya Grampus

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
24%
41%
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba winDrawNagoya Grampus win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.60
1.15Avg goals scored1.28
1.81Avg goals conceded1.37
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba xG

Expected goals

1.5

Nagoya Grampus xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

1–0

8%

2–1

8%

0–0

6%

Home

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

DLDDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Nagoya Grampus?

Nagoya Grampus is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is JEF United Ichihara-Chiba's current form?

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba Win35%
Draw24%
Nagoya Grampus Win41%
BTTS59%
Over 2.555%