Match Analysis

JEF United Ichihara-ChibavsV-Varen Nagasaki

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
24%
40%
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba winDrawV-Varen Nagasaki win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.20
1.14Avg goals scored1.26
1.80Avg goals conceded1.37
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba xG

Expected goals

1.5

V-Varen Nagasaki xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

1–0

8%

2–1

8%

0–0

6%

Home

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

DLDDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

DWLDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

V-Varen Nagasaki is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is JEF United Ichihara-Chiba's current form?

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba Win36%
Draw24%
V-Varen Nagasaki Win40%
BTTS59%
Over 2.555%