Match Analysis

Kashima AntlersvsMachida Zelvia

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
21%
53%
Kashima Antlers winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.20
2.01Avg goals scored2.34
1.68Avg goals conceded0.67
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Kashima Antlers xG

Expected goals

2.1

Machida Zelvia xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

0–2

7%

1–3

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Kashima Antlers

Kashima Antlers

DLDWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Kashima Antlers vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Kashima Antlers's current form?

Kashima Antlers have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Kashima Antlers Win26%
Draw21%
Machida Zelvia Win53%
BTTS66%
Over 2.568%