Match Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

67%
17%
16%
Kashiwa Reysol winDrawNagoya Grampus win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game1.20
2.30Avg goals scored1.66
0.99Avg goals conceded1.55
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.9

Kashiwa Reysol xG

Expected goals

1.2

Nagoya Grampus xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

21

8%

31

8%

20

7%

30

7%

11

6%

41

6%

Home

Kashiwa Reysol

Kashiwa Reysol

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

WWLLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings

Kashiwa Reysolall timeNagoya Grampus
2W
1D
1W
8 Nov 25
Kashiwa Reysol10Nagoya Grampus
29 Apr 25
Nagoya Grampus12Kashiwa Reysol
16 Mar 24
Kashiwa Reysol02Nagoya Grampus
3 Dec 23
Nagoya Grampus11Kashiwa Reysol

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?

Kashiwa Reysol is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Kashiwa Reysol's current form?

Kashiwa Reysol have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Kashiwa Reysol won 2, drew 1, and Nagoya Grampus won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Kashiwa Reysol Win67%
Draw17%
Nagoya Grampus Win16%
BTTS66%
Over 2.578%

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