Match Analysis

Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
21%
47%
Kyoto Sanga winDrawAvispa Fukuoka win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.20
1.31Avg goals scored1.45
2.02Avg goals conceded1.49
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Kyoto Sanga xG

Expected goals

2.1

Avispa Fukuoka xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

12

9%

11

8%

21

7%

22

7%

13

6%

01

5%

Home

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga

WLDLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Avispa Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka

LLWLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head · Last 5 meetings

Kyoto Sangaall timeAvispa Fukuoka
2W
1D
2W
6 May 26
Avispa Fukuoka11Kyoto Sanga
22 Feb 26
Kyoto Sanga20Avispa Fukuoka
9 Mar 25
Kyoto Sanga01Avispa Fukuoka
11 May 24
Kyoto Sanga23Avispa Fukuoka
26 Aug 23
Kyoto Sanga20Avispa Fukuoka

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Avispa Fukuoka is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Kyoto Sanga's current form?

Kyoto Sanga have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 5 J1 League meetings, Kyoto Sanga won 2, drew 1, and Avispa Fukuoka won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 5 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Kyoto Sanga Win32%
Draw21%
Avispa Fukuoka Win47%
BTTS70%
Over 2.571%

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