Match Analysis

Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

9%
12%
79%
Kyoto Sanga winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.60
1.31Avg goals scored2.57
2.02Avg goals conceded0.75
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Kyoto Sanga xG

Expected goals

3.7

Machida Zelvia xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

03

9%

04

9%

02

8%

13

8%

14

7%

05

6%

Home

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga

WLDLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.6 / 0.7

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings

Kyoto Sangaall timeMachida Zelvia
1W
1D
2W
23 Sep 25
Kyoto Sanga11Machida Zelvia
7 May 25
Machida Zelvia12Kyoto Sanga
30 Nov 24
Machida Zelvia10Kyoto Sanga
6 May 24
Kyoto Sanga03Machida Zelvia

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Kyoto Sanga's current form?

Kyoto Sanga have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Kyoto Sanga won 1, drew 1, and Machida Zelvia won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Kyoto Sanga Win9%
Draw12%
Machida Zelvia Win79%
BTTS54%
Over 2.583%

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