Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Kyoto Sanga xG
Expected goals
3.7
Machida Zelvia xG
54%
Both Teams to Score
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
9%
0–4
9%
0–2
8%
1–3
8%
1–4
7%
0–5
6%
Home
Kyoto Sanga
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Machida Zelvia
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.6 / 0.7
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia?
Machida Zelvia is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Kyoto Sanga's current form?
Kyoto Sanga have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Kyoto Sanga won 1, drew 1, and Machida Zelvia won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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