Match Analysis

Kyoto SangavsMachida Zelvia

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

17%
19%
64%
Kyoto Sanga winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.60
1.23Avg goals scored2.34
1.93Avg goals conceded0.67
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Kyoto Sanga xG

Expected goals

2.3

Machida Zelvia xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

0–2

9%

0–1

8%

1–1

8%

0–3

7%

1–3

7%

Home

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga

DDDLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.7

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Kyoto Sanga's current form?

Kyoto Sanga have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Kyoto Sanga Win17%
Draw19%
Machida Zelvia Win64%
BTTS60%
Over 2.566%