Match Analysis

Machida ZelviavsAvispa Fukuoka

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

75%
15%
10%
Machida Zelvia winDrawAvispa Fukuoka win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game0.80
2.34Avg goals scored0.99
0.67Avg goals conceded1.93
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Machida Zelvia xG

Expected goals

0.9

Avispa Fukuoka xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

9%

3–0

9%

1–0

8%

3–1

8%

1–1

7%

Home

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.7

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Avispa Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Machida Zelvia's current form?

Machida Zelvia have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Machida Zelvia Win75%
Draw15%
Avispa Fukuoka Win10%
BTTS55%
Over 2.568%