Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.2
Machida Zelvia xG
Expected goals
0.8
Avispa Fukuoka xG
53%
Both Teams to Score
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
10%
2–0
9%
2–1
8%
3–1
8%
4–0
8%
1–0
6%
Home
Machida Zelvia
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
3.0 / 0.7
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Avispa Fukuoka
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 3 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Machida Zelvia is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Machida Zelvia's current form?
Machida Zelvia have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 3 J1 League meetings, Machida Zelvia won 1, drew 2, and Avispa Fukuoka won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 3 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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