Match Analysis

Machida ZelviavsGamba Osaka

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

70%
17%
13%
Machida Zelvia winDrawGamba Osaka win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.60
2.34Avg goals scored1.20
0.67Avg goals conceded1.71
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Machida Zelvia xG

Expected goals

0.9

Gamba Osaka xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

11%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

8%

3–0

8%

3–1

8%

Home

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.7

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Machida Zelvia's current form?

Machida Zelvia have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Machida Zelvia Win70%
Draw17%
Gamba Osaka Win13%
BTTS54%
Over 2.564%