Match Analysis

Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

60%
20%
20%
Machida Zelvia winDrawKashiwa Reysol win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game2.40
2.57Avg goals scored2.30
0.75Avg goals conceded0.99
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Machida Zelvia xG

Expected goals

1.2

Kashiwa Reysol xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

21

10%

11

9%

10

8%

20

8%

31

7%

12

6%

Home

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.6 / 0.7

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Kashiwa Reysol

Kashiwa Reysol

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Machida Zelviaall timeKashiwa Reysol
4W
1D
1W
11 Apr 26
Machida Zelvia10Kashiwa Reysol
14 Mar 26
Kashiwa Reysol01Machida Zelvia
6 Dec 25
Kashiwa Reysol10Machida Zelvia
17 May 25
Machida Zelvia30Kashiwa Reysol
19 Oct 24
Kashiwa Reysol11Machida Zelvia
3 May 24
Machida Zelvia20Kashiwa Reysol

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Machida Zelvia's current form?

Machida Zelvia have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 J1 League meetings, Machida Zelvia won 4, drew 1, and Kashiwa Reysol won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Machida Zelvia Win60%
Draw20%
Kashiwa Reysol Win20%
BTTS61%
Over 2.564%

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