Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Machida Zelvia xG
Expected goals
1.2
Kashiwa Reysol xG
61%
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
10%
1–1
9%
1–0
8%
2–0
8%
3–1
7%
1–2
6%
Home
Machida Zelvia
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.6 / 0.7
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Kashiwa Reysol
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.0
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Machida Zelvia is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Machida Zelvia's current form?
Machida Zelvia have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 J1 League meetings, Machida Zelvia won 4, drew 1, and Kashiwa Reysol won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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