Match Analysis

Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

63%
22%
15%
Machida Zelvia winDrawKawasaki Frontale win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.20
2.57Avg goals scored1.78
0.75Avg goals conceded1.43
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3

Machida Zelvia xG

Expected goals

0.9

Kawasaki Frontale xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

20

9%

30

9%

21

8%

31

8%

40

7%

10

6%

Home

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.6 / 0.7

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Kawasaki Frontale

Kawasaki Frontale

WDDDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Machida Zelviaall timeKawasaki Frontale
1W
3D
2W
17 May 26
Kawasaki Frontale11Machida Zelvia
28 Mar 26
Machida Zelvia11Kawasaki Frontale
31 Aug 25
Kawasaki Frontale53Machida Zelvia
6 Apr 25
Machida Zelvia22Kawasaki Frontale
5 Oct 24
Machida Zelvia14Kawasaki Frontale
7 Apr 24
Kawasaki Frontale01Machida Zelvia

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Machida Zelvia's current form?

Machida Zelvia have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 J1 League meetings, Machida Zelvia won 1, drew 3, and Kawasaki Frontale won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Machida Zelvia Win63%
Draw22%
Kawasaki Frontale Win15%
BTTS56%
Over 2.575%

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