Match Analysis

Machida ZelviavsV-Varen Nagasaki

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

65%
20%
15%
Machida Zelvia winDrawV-Varen Nagasaki win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.20
2.34Avg goals scored1.26
0.67Avg goals conceded1.37
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Machida Zelvia xG

Expected goals

1

V-Varen Nagasaki xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

9%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.7

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

DWLDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Machida Zelvia vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Machida Zelvia's current form?

Machida Zelvia have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Machida Zelvia Win65%
Draw20%
V-Varen Nagasaki Win15%
BTTS55%
Over 2.560%