Match Analysis

Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

25%
29%
46%
Mito Hollyhock winDrawKawasaki Frontale win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.20
1.21Avg goals scored1.78
1.40Avg goals conceded1.43
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Mito Hollyhock xG

Expected goals

1.8

Kawasaki Frontale xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

10%

12

9%

01

7%

02

7%

21

7%

10

6%

Home

Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock

DWDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Kawasaki Frontale

Kawasaki Frontale

WDDDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings

Mito Hollyhockall timeKawasaki Frontale
1D
1W
24 May 26
Mito Hollyhock13Kawasaki Frontale
1 Mar 26
Kawasaki Frontale22Mito Hollyhock

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Kawasaki Frontale is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Mito Hollyhock's current form?

Mito Hollyhock have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 J1 League meetings, Mito Hollyhock won 0, drew 1, and Kawasaki Frontale won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard →

Match Odds

Mito Hollyhock Win25%
Draw29%
Kawasaki Frontale Win46%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi