Match Analysis

Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

4%
28%
68%
Mito Hollyhock winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.60
1.27Avg goals scored2.98
1.51Avg goals conceded0.68
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

Mito Hollyhock xG

Expected goals

3.2

Machida Zelvia xG

48%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

03

11%

02

10%

04

9%

13

8%

12

7%

01

6%

Home

Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock

WDLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

WWWWD

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 0.7

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings

Mito Hollyhockall timeMachida Zelvia
2D
29 Apr 26
Mito Hollyhock22Machida Zelvia
14 Feb 26
Machida Zelvia22Mito Hollyhock

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Mito Hollyhock's current form?

Mito Hollyhock have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 J1 League meetings, Mito Hollyhock won 0, drew 2, and Machida Zelvia won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Mito Hollyhock Win4%
Draw28%
Machida Zelvia Win68%
BTTS48%
Over 2.575%

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