Match Analysis

Mito HollyhockvsV-Varen Nagasaki

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
24%
50%
Mito Hollyhock winDrawV-Varen Nagasaki win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game1.20
0.72Avg goals scored1.26
2.17Avg goals conceded1.37
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Mito Hollyhock xG

Expected goals

1.7

V-Varen Nagasaki xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

7%

2–1

7%

Home

Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.7 / 2.2

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

DWLDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mito Hollyhock vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

V-Varen Nagasaki is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Mito Hollyhock's current form?

Mito Hollyhock have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Mito Hollyhock Win26%
Draw24%
V-Varen Nagasaki Win50%
BTTS57%
Over 2.555%