Match Analysis

Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

47%
22%
31%
Nagoya Grampus winDrawCerezo Osaka win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.80
1.66Avg goals scored1.26
1.55Avg goals conceded1.27
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected goals

1.4

Cerezo Osaka xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

11%

21

9%

10

8%

12

8%

20

7%

01

6%

Home

Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

WWLLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

LWLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Nagoya Grampusall timeCerezo Osaka
3W
1D
2W
17 May 26
Cerezo Osaka61Nagoya Grampus
4 Apr 26
Nagoya Grampus30Cerezo Osaka
4 Oct 25
Nagoya Grampus21Cerezo Osaka
8 Mar 25
Cerezo Osaka11Nagoya Grampus
21 Apr 24
Nagoya Grampus21Cerezo Osaka
26 Aug 23
Cerezo Osaka31Nagoya Grampus

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka?

Nagoya Grampus is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nagoya Grampus's current form?

Nagoya Grampus have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 J1 League meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 3, drew 1, and Cerezo Osaka won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Nagoya Grampus Win47%
Draw22%
Cerezo Osaka Win31%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%

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