Match Analysis

Nagoya GrampusvsCerezo Osaka

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
24%
27%
Nagoya Grampus winDrawCerezo Osaka win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.80
1.28Avg goals scored1.10
1.37Avg goals conceded1.70
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)0–4–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected goals

1.2

Cerezo Osaka xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

2–0

8%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

DDLDD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.7

Last 5

0W 4D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka?

Nagoya Grampus is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nagoya Grampus's current form?

Nagoya Grampus have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nagoya Grampus Win49%
Draw24%
Cerezo Osaka Win27%
BTTS57%
Over 2.555%