Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected goals
1.1
Fagiano Okayama xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
13%
1–0
12%
0–1
10%
0–0
9%
2–0
8%
2–1
8%
Home
Nagoya Grampus
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Fagiano Okayama
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
Nagoya Grampus is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Nagoya Grampus's current form?
Nagoya Grampus have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 1, drew 3, and Fagiano Okayama won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from J1 League