Match Analysis

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
39%
24%
Nagoya Grampus winDrawFagiano Okayama win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.40
1.66Avg goals scored1.01
1.55Avg goals conceded0.97
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected goals

1.1

Fagiano Okayama xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

13%

10

12%

01

10%

00

9%

20

8%

21

8%

Home

Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

WWLLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

LDWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings

Nagoya Grampusall timeFagiano Okayama
1W
3D
29 Apr 26
Nagoya Grampus11Fagiano Okayama
1 Mar 26
Fagiano Okayama11Nagoya Grampus
13 Sep 25
Fagiano Okayama01Nagoya Grampus
6 May 25
Nagoya Grampus00Fagiano Okayama

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

Nagoya Grampus is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nagoya Grampus's current form?

Nagoya Grampus have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 1, drew 3, and Fagiano Okayama won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Nagoya Grampus Win37%
Draw39%
Fagiano Okayama Win24%
BTTS49%
Over 2.543%

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