Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected goals
3.6
Machida Zelvia xG
58%
Both Teams to Score
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
9%
0–4
8%
1–3
8%
0–2
7%
1–4
7%
0–5
6%
Home
Nagoya Grampus
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.7
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Machida Zelvia
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
3.0 / 0.7
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia?
Machida Zelvia is favored with a 83% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Nagoya Grampus's current form?
Nagoya Grampus have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 0, drew 1, and Machida Zelvia won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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