Match Analysis

Nagoya GrampusvsSanfrecce Hiroshima

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

25%
22%
53%
Nagoya Grampus winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.00
1.28Avg goals scored2.38
1.37Avg goals conceded0.91
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected goals

1.9

Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

0–2

8%

1–3

6%

2–1

6%

Home

Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.4 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nagoya Grampus's current form?

Nagoya Grampus have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nagoya Grampus Win25%
Draw22%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win53%
BTTS59%
Over 2.560%