Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected goals
0.5
Cerezo Osaka xG
33%
Both Teams to Score
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
17%
2–0
16%
3–0
10%
0–0
9%
1–1
9%
2–1
8%
Home
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.9 / 0.6
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Cerezo Osaka
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.3
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 7 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sanfrecce Hiroshima's current form?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 7 J1 League meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 4, drew 3, and Cerezo Osaka won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 7 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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