Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected goals
0.7
Nagoya Grampus xG
45%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
13%
1–0
11%
3–0
10%
2–1
9%
1–1
8%
3–1
7%
Home
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.9 / 0.6
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Nagoya Grampus
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sanfrecce Hiroshima's current form?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 J1 League meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 3, drew 0, and Nagoya Grampus won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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