Match Analysis

Sanfrecce HiroshimavsShimizu S-Pulse

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

76%
14%
10%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima winDrawShimizu S-Pulse win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.60
2.38Avg goals scored0.89
0.91Avg goals conceded2.13
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.8

Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected goals

0.9

Shimizu S-Pulse xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

9%

3–0

9%

3–1

8%

1–0

7%

1–1

6%

Home

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.4 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Shimizu S-Pulse

Shimizu S-Pulse

DLDWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sanfrecce Hiroshima's current form?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win76%
Draw14%
Shimizu S-Pulse Win10%
BTTS56%
Over 2.571%