Match Analysis

Shimizu S-PulsevsGamba Osaka

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
24%
42%
Shimizu S-Pulse winDrawGamba Osaka win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.80
0.89Avg goals scored1.20
2.13Avg goals conceded1.71
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Shimizu S-Pulse xG

Expected goals

1.6

Gamba Osaka xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

2–1

8%

1–0

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Shimizu S-Pulse

Shimizu S-Pulse

DLDWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

DDWDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka?

Gamba Osaka is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Shimizu S-Pulse's current form?

Shimizu S-Pulse have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Shimizu S-Pulse Win34%
Draw24%
Gamba Osaka Win42%
BTTS60%
Over 2.558%