Match Analysis

Shimizu S-PulsevsMachida Zelvia

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

13%
17%
70%
Shimizu S-Pulse winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.60
0.89Avg goals scored2.34
2.13Avg goals conceded0.67
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Shimizu S-Pulse xG

Expected goals

2.4

Machida Zelvia xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

11%

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

0–3

8%

1–1

8%

1–3

8%

Home

Shimizu S-Pulse

Shimizu S-Pulse

DLDWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.7

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Shimizu S-Pulse's current form?

Shimizu S-Pulse have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Shimizu S-Pulse Win13%
Draw17%
Machida Zelvia Win70%
BTTS54%
Over 2.564%