🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
Urawa Red Diamonds xG
Expected goals
1.1
Fagiano Okayama xG
53%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
1–0
11%
2–0
9%
2–1
9%
0–0
7%
0–1
7%
Home
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.3 / 0.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.4
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Who is favored to win Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama?
Urawa Red Diamonds is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Urawa Red Diamonds's current form?
Urawa Red Diamonds have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 J1 League meetings, Urawa Red Diamonds won 2, drew 0, and Fagiano Okayama won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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