Match Analysis

Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
34%
24%
Vissel Kobe winDrawCerezo Osaka win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.80
1.09Avg goals scored1.26
0.96Avg goals conceded1.27
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Vissel Kobe xG

Expected goals

0.9

Cerezo Osaka xG

40%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

15%

00

14%

11

13%

01

12%

20

8%

21

7%

Home

Vissel Kobe

Vissel Kobe

WLDWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

LWLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 7 meetings

Vissel Kobeall timeCerezo Osaka
3W
3D
1W
29 Apr 26
Vissel Kobe00Cerezo Osaka
22 Mar 26
Cerezo Osaka11Vissel Kobe
23 Aug 25
Cerezo Osaka11Vissel Kobe
6 May 25
Vissel Kobe13Cerezo Osaka
13 Sep 24
Vissel Kobe21Cerezo Osaka
11 May 24
Cerezo Osaka14Vissel Kobe
23 Sep 23
Vissel Kobe10Cerezo Osaka

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka?

Vissel Kobe is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Vissel Kobe's current form?

Vissel Kobe have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 7 J1 League meetings, Vissel Kobe won 3, drew 3, and Cerezo Osaka won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 7 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Vissel Kobe Win42%
Draw34%
Cerezo Osaka Win24%
BTTS40%
Over 2.532%

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