Vvaren Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Vvaren Nagasaki xG
Expected goals
1.6
Cerezo Osaka xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
1–2
9%
2–1
8%
0–1
7%
1–0
7%
0–2
6%
Home
Vvaren Nagasaki
Away
Cerezo Osaka
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.3
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Vvaren Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?
Cerezo Osaka is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from J1 League