Match Analysis

V-Varen NagasakivsKawasaki Frontale

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
23%
43%
V-Varen Nagasaki winDrawKawasaki Frontale win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.60
1.26Avg goals scored2.18
1.37Avg goals conceded1.50
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

V-Varen Nagasaki xG

Expected goals

1.8

Kawasaki Frontale xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

0–2

5%

Home

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

DWLDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Kawasaki Frontale

Kawasaki Frontale

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Kawasaki Frontale is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is V-Varen Nagasaki's current form?

V-Varen Nagasaki have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

V-Varen Nagasaki Win34%
Draw23%
Kawasaki Frontale Win43%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%