Match Analysis

V-Varen NagasakivsSanfrecce Hiroshima

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

25%
22%
53%
V-Varen Nagasaki winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.00
1.26Avg goals scored2.38
1.37Avg goals conceded0.91
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

V-Varen Nagasaki xG

Expected goals

1.9

Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

0–2

8%

1–3

6%

2–1

6%

Home

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

DWLDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.4 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is V-Varen Nagasaki's current form?

V-Varen Nagasaki have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

V-Varen Nagasaki Win25%
Draw22%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win53%
BTTS59%
Over 2.560%