Match Analysis

V-Varen NagasakivsUrawa Red Diamonds

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
24%
35%
V-Varen Nagasaki winDrawUrawa Red Diamonds win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.00
1.26Avg goals scored1.64
1.37Avg goals conceded1.57
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

V-Varen Nagasaki xG

Expected goals

1.5

Urawa Red Diamonds xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

2–0

6%

Home

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

DWLDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Urawa Red Diamonds

Urawa Red Diamonds

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.6

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win V-Varen Nagasaki vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

V-Varen Nagasaki is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is V-Varen Nagasaki's current form?

V-Varen Nagasaki have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

V-Varen Nagasaki Win41%
Draw24%
Urawa Red Diamonds Win35%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%