Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Alavés xG
Expected goals
1.2
Deportivo xG
54%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
1–0
10%
2–1
9%
0–1
8%
2–0
8%
0–0
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $80K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Alavés
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.2
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Deportivo
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.4
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Alavés vs Deportivo?
Alavés is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Alavés's current form?
Alavés have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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