Match Analysis

AlavésvsEspanyol

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
25%
29%
Alavés winDrawEspanyol win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game0.40
1.23Avg goals scored1.04
1.24Avg goals conceded1.44
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Alavés xG

Expected goals

1.2

Espanyol xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

10%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

2–0

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Alavés

Alavés

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Espanyol

Espanyol

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Alavés vs Espanyol?

Alavés is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Alavés's current form?

Alavés have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Alavés Win46%
Draw25%
Espanyol Win29%
BTTS54%
Over 2.551%