Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Alaves xG
Expected goals
1
Osasuna xG
42%
Both Teams to Score
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
13%
1–1
13%
0–0
12%
0–1
12%
1–2
7%
2–0
7%
Home
Alaves
Away
Osasuna
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Alaves vs Osasuna?
Alaves is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from La Liga