Match Analysis

Alaves vs Valencia

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
36%
23%
Alaves winDrawValencia win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.60
0.00Avg goals scored0.61
0.00Avg goals conceded0.79
0–0–0Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Alaves xG

Expected goals

0.6

Valencia xG

27%

Both Teams to Score

19%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

00

22%

10

20%

01

13%

11

12%

20

9%

21

5%

Home

Alaves

No data

Away

Valencia

Valencia

LDWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.6 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Alaves vs Valencia?

Alaves is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 27%. Over 2.5 goals: 19%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard →

Match Odds

Alaves Win41%
Draw36%
Valencia Win23%
BTTS27%
Over 2.519%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi