Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Alaves xG
Expected goals
0.6
Valencia xG
27%
Both Teams to Score
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
22%
1–0
20%
0–1
13%
1–1
12%
2–0
9%
2–1
5%
Home
Alaves
Away
Valencia
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
0.6 / 0.8
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Alaves vs Valencia?
Alaves is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 27%. Over 2.5 goals: 19%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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