Match Analysis

Alaves vs Villarreal

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
20%
41%
Alaves winDrawVillarreal win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.00
0.00Avg goals scored2.20
0.00Avg goals conceded1.87
0–0–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Alaves xG

Expected goals

2.2

Villarreal xG

79%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

12

7%

21

7%

22

7%

11

6%

13

5%

23

5%

Home

Alaves

No data

Away

Villarreal

Villarreal

DDWLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Alaves vs Villarreal?

Villarreal is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 79%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Alaves Win39%
Draw20%
Villarreal Win41%
BTTS79%
Over 2.581%

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