Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid
ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Athletic Club xG
Expected goals
2.4
Atletico Madrid xG
54%
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
11%
1–2
10%
0–1
9%
0–3
8%
1–1
8%
1–3
8%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $1.5M volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Athletic Club
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
0.7 / 2.4
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Away
Atletico Madrid
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid?
Atletico Madrid is favored with a 71% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Athletic Club's current form?
Athletic Club have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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