Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
Athletic Club xG
Expected goals
1
Espanyol xG
50%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
12%
1–1
12%
2–0
10%
2–1
10%
0–0
7%
0–1
7%
Home
Athletic Club
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.3 / 0.8
Last 5
0W 4D 1L
Away
Espanyol
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.4
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Athletic Club vs Espanyol?
Athletic Club is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Athletic Club's current form?
Athletic Club have recorded 0W 4D 1L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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