Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Athletic Club xG
Expected goals
1.1
Getafe xG
37%
Both Teams to Score
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
16%
0–0
15%
1–1
13%
1–0
12%
0–2
9%
1–2
7%
Home
Athletic Club
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
0.7 / 2.4
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Away
Getafe
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
0.6 / 1.2
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Athletic Club vs Getafe?
Getafe is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Athletic Club's current form?
Athletic Club have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Athletic Club won 2, drew 2, and Getafe won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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