Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.8
Atlético Madrid xG
Expected goals
1.9
Barcelona xG
71%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
8%
1–2
8%
2–1
8%
2–2
7%
0–1
5%
1–3
5%
Home
Atlético Madrid
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.9 / 0.7
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Barcelona
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.8 / 1.2
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona?
Barcelona is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Atlético Madrid's current form?
Atlético Madrid have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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