Match Analysis

Atlético MadridvsReal Betis

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
22%
21%
Atlético Madrid winDrawReal Betis win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game2.00
1.86Avg goals scored1.68
0.65Avg goals conceded1.55
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Atlético Madrid xG

Expected goals

1.1

Real Betis xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

2–0

9%

3–1

7%

3–0

6%

Model vs Market

Polymarket · $125K volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
Atlético Madrid
57%
5%
+52%
Draw
22%
—
—
Real Betis
21%
95%
-74%
Trade on Polymarket →

Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Real Betis

Real Betis

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.6

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atlético Madrid vs Real Betis?

Atlético Madrid is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atlético Madrid's current form?

Atlético Madrid have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atlético Madrid Win57%
Draw22%
Real Betis Win21%
BTTS58%
Over 2.560%