Match Analysis

Atlético MadridvsValencia

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

65%
20%
15%
Atlético Madrid winDrawValencia win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.20
1.86Avg goals scored0.80
0.65Avg goals conceded1.65
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Atlético Madrid xG

Expected goals

0.8

Valencia xG

48%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

12%

2–0

12%

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

3–0

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Valencia

Valencia

DDDLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atlético Madrid vs Valencia?

Atlético Madrid is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atlético Madrid's current form?

Atlético Madrid have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atlético Madrid Win65%
Draw20%
Valencia Win15%
BTTS48%
Over 2.553%