Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.8
Barcelona xG
Expected goals
1.2
Alavés xG
66%
Both Teams to Score
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
3–1
8%
2–0
7%
3–0
7%
1–1
6%
4–1
6%
Model vs Market
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Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Barcelona
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.8 / 1.2
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Alavés
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.2
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Barcelona vs Alavés?
Barcelona is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Barcelona's current form?
Barcelona have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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