Match Analysis

Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

82%
15%
3%
Barcelona winDrawRayo Vallecano win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game1.40
2.87Avg goals scored1.20
0.39Avg goals conceded1.19
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3

Barcelona xG

Expected goals

0.4

Rayo Vallecano xG

31%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

20

15%

30

15%

40

11%

10

10%

50

7%

21

6%

Home

Barcelona

Barcelona

WWWLW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.9 / 0.4

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Barcelonaall timeRayo Vallecano
4W
2D
22 Mar 26
Barcelona10Rayo Vallecano
31 Aug 25
Rayo Vallecano11Barcelona
17 Feb 25
Barcelona10Rayo Vallecano
27 Aug 24
Rayo Vallecano12Barcelona
19 May 24
Barcelona30Rayo Vallecano
25 Nov 23
Rayo Vallecano11Barcelona

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano?

Barcelona is favored with a 82% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Barcelona's current form?

Barcelona have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Barcelona won 4, drew 2, and Rayo Vallecano won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Barcelona Win82%
Draw15%
Rayo Vallecano Win3%
BTTS31%
Over 2.566%

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