Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Celta Vigo xG
Expected goals
0.6
Athletic Club xG
37%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
17%
2–0
14%
0–0
10%
1–1
10%
2–1
9%
3–0
8%
Home
Celta Vigo
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Athletic Club
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
0.7 / 2.4
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?
Celta Vigo is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Celta Vigo's current form?
Celta Vigo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Celta Vigo won 2, drew 1, and Athletic Club won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from La Liga