Match Analysis

Celta VigovsVillarreal

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
28%
29%
Celta Vigo winDrawVillarreal win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
1.02Avg goals scored1.39
0.59Avg goals conceded1.20
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Celta Vigo xG

Expected goals

1

Villarreal xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

10%

0–1

10%

2–0

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Villarreal

Villarreal

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Celta Vigo vs Villarreal?

Celta Vigo is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Celta Vigo's current form?

Celta Vigo have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Celta Vigo Win43%
Draw28%
Villarreal Win29%
BTTS46%
Over 2.540%