Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Elche xG
Expected goals
1.5
Atlético Madrid xG
54%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
0–1
10%
1–2
9%
0–2
8%
1–0
8%
0–0
7%
Home
Elche
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Away
Atlético Madrid
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.9 / 0.7
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Elche vs Atlético Madrid?
Atlético Madrid is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Elche's current form?
Elche have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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