Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.6
Elche xG
Expected goals
1.6
Celta Vigo xG
36%
Both Teams to Score
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
18%
0–2
14%
0–0
11%
1–1
11%
1–2
9%
0–3
8%
Home
Elche
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.6 / 2.5
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Celta Vigo
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Elche vs Celta Vigo?
Celta Vigo is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Elche's current form?
Elche have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 La Liga meetings, Elche won 1, drew 0, and Celta Vigo won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 36%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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