Match Analysis

ElchevsCelta Vigo

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
28%
36%
Elche winDrawCelta Vigo win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.60
1.42Avg goals scored1.02
1.25Avg goals conceded0.59
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Elche xG

Expected goals

1.2

Celta Vigo xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

11%

1–0

11%

0–0

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Elche

Elche

DWDDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Elche vs Celta Vigo?

This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.

What is Elche's current form?

Elche have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Elche Win36%
Draw28%
Celta Vigo Win36%
BTTS49%
Over 2.543%