Match Analysis

ElchevsSevilla

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
23%
31%
Elche winDrawSevilla win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.00
1.42Avg goals scored1.63
1.25Avg goals conceded1.72
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Elche xG

Expected goals

1.4

Sevilla xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–0

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Elche

Elche

DWDDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Sevilla

Sevilla

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Elche vs Sevilla?

Elche is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Elche's current form?

Elche have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Elche Win46%
Draw23%
Sevilla Win31%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%