Match Analysis

EspanyolvsAtlético Madrid

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
24%
52%
Espanyol winDrawAtlético Madrid win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game2.20
1.04Avg goals scored1.86
1.44Avg goals conceded0.65
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Espanyol xG

Expected goals

1.7

Atlético Madrid xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

11%

1–1

11%

0–2

10%

1–2

10%

0–0

7%

1–0

7%

Home

Espanyol

Espanyol

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid?

Atlético Madrid is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Espanyol's current form?

Espanyol have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Espanyol Win24%
Draw24%
Atlético Madrid Win52%
BTTS52%
Over 2.551%